Economics
Macro Briefing: 12 July 2023
* More rate hikes expected no matter what today’s US inflation data reveals * Possible UPS strike would be “disruptive” for US economy * Auto industry…
* More rate hikes expected no matter what today’s US inflation data reveals
* Possible UPS strike would be “disruptive” for US economy
* Auto industry prepares for contentious talks with unions
* Demand for lithium and other critical minerals is surging, IEA says
* Housing market may be near inflection point as prices look set to spike
* Variations for measuring inflation stir debate on which metrics are best
* World expected to consume more oil than it produces in 2023
* US Dollar Index trades near lowest level in over a year:
Admit it — recession forecasts have been wrong, writes economist Scott Sumner. “You predicted a recession and it didn’t happen? You are about to be interviewed by CNBC? Have no fear, you can always claim that there has been a ‘rolling recession’. It’s like a get out of jail free card,” he asserts on his blog TheMoneyIllusion.com. “Rolling recessions do not exist. The fact that weakness in housing was followed by weakness in manufacturing and then a few layoffs in tech doesn’t mean a thing if the overall economy continues booming. Claims of rolling recessions are used merely as an excuse for failed macroeconomic predictions that flowed from bad models.”
Argentina Is One of the Most Regulated Countries in the World
In the coming days and weeks, we can expect further, far‐reaching reform proposals that will go through the Argentine congress.
Crypto, Crude, & Crap Stocks Rally As Yield Curve Steepens, Rate-Cut Hopes Soar
Crypto, Crude, & Crap Stocks Rally As Yield Curve Steepens, Rate-Cut Hopes Soar
A weird week of macro data – strong jobless claims but…
Fed Pivot: A Blend of Confidence and Folly
Fed Pivot: Charting a New Course in Economic Strategy Dec 22, 2023 Introduction In the dynamic world of economics, the Federal Reserve, the central bank…
